Description

This analysis provides a forecast of INJ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-23 6.800924 7.873251 9.021667 10.338780 11.803199 13.377030 15.191844
2025-03-30 5.249000 6.700101 8.370835 10.419081 12.843939 15.604393 18.964736
2025-04-06 3.918406 5.505188 7.463826 10.018275 13.217728 17.047240 21.927998
2025-04-13 2.923375 4.518860 6.626503 9.540351 13.382930 18.192057 24.570887
2025-04-20 2.476933 4.159802 6.515011 9.931753 14.628086 20.715404 29.041723
2025-04-27 2.240676 4.046566 6.702716 10.714927 16.420526 24.027965 34.690550
2025-05-04 1.995071 3.869068 6.760751 11.298394 17.957457 27.067566 40.119422
2025-05-11 1.676697 3.512870 6.494775 11.363573 18.742322 29.102073 44.271701
2025-05-18 1.351111 3.078122 6.039521 11.078551 18.969963 30.341465 47.356681
2025-05-25 1.095994 2.715960 5.646537 10.834796 19.215072 31.586244 50.468356
2025-06-01 0.916876 2.460854 5.396652 10.785100 19.732716 33.225797 54.180072
2025-06-08 0.761619 2.219399 5.134482 10.679336 20.137730 34.696028 57.680235
2025-06-15 0.699379 2.175068 5.243783 11.241947 21.682639 37.999381 64.074797
2025-06-22 0.599753 2.020807 5.119219 11.374471 22.523846 40.258609 68.999625
2025-06-29 0.469387 1.753623 4.726000 10.970951 22.426784 41.039071 71.708166
2025-07-06 0.357391 1.496887 4.309535 10.471816 22.116600 41.448449 73.842239
2025-07-13 0.324118 1.457526 4.366718 10.901561 23.467333 44.591061 80.331268
2025-07-20 0.318166 1.502168 4.622530 11.749258 25.611719 49.107589 89.113138
2025-07-27 0.299651 1.500900 4.768412 12.379640 27.385979 53.066089 97.113129
2025-08-03 0.255609 1.398053 4.652562 12.451511 28.126973 55.319097 102.444395
2025-08-10 0.202778 1.241026 4.373954 12.146129 28.134657 56.323538 105.779240
2025-08-17 0.161056 1.106561 4.128693 11.884551 28.200913 57.417178 109.275333
2025-08-24 0.132987 1.015511 3.984282 11.831424 28.660576 59.195407 113.930212